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Monday, April 20, 2009

UBS Asian Economic Comment - Philippines: Exports and policy settings


- Philippines export growth was weaker than expected at -39.1% in
February after -40.1% in January. This was broadly as expected by
consensus and reflected a stabilisation in the level of exports.

- We would hesitate before getting too negative on this data from a risk
market perspective. Chart 2 shows that the decline in Philippines
exports since mid year-2008 was not out of line with regional peers.
Moreover, the Philippine data was for February. Already released March
data elsewhere suggests an improvement.

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